PGR21.com
- 경험기, 프리뷰, 리뷰, 기록 분석, 패치 노트 등을 올리실 수 있습니다.
Date 2008/09/11 21:08:42
Name 펠릭스~
Subject ELO 시스템으로 승리확률 산출하기~~
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating

프렐루드님의 글에 나온 산출 공식을
로가리즘을 이용해서 산출하겠다 이런 아이디어 입니다.

간단히 말해
좀 어려운 공식이지만 로가리즘을 이용하면
승률->지수화->더하기 빼기->승률
꼴로 바꿀수 있다는 점인데.....

자세한 표는 리플에 나와있고 저 표를 통해서 승률을 지수화한 후에
역산하면 됩니다.

승률 60% 선수와 승률 70% 선수가 경기를 벌인다면???

아래 표를 이용해서
승률 60% 선수의 지수값은 70.4
승률 70% 선수의 지수값은 147.2  두 선수의 값을 빼주면 76.8

다시 76.8에 가까운 승률값을 찾아주면 60.8% 정도 값이 됩니다.
맵역시 동일한 방식으로 연산해 주면 가능한데

승률 60%인 저그 선수가 승률 70%인 테란선수와 승률 80%인 맵에서 경기를 펼친다면??
저그 선수 기준으로 지수는 다음과 같이 계산됩니다.

(저그 선수의 지수값-테란선수의 지수값+저그 입장에서 맵의 지수값)
(=70.4-147.2+240.8=163.2)
163.2에 해당되는 승률값을 찾으면 71.8% 가량 됩니다.

지수값은 승률50% 이하에서 음수로 대칭값을 가집니다.
60%의 지수값과 40%의 지수값이 각각 70.4  , -70.4 가 됩니다.

먼저 50~99 사이에 값을 올려 놓고
0~50까지에 값을 리플로 올립니다.

통합규정 1.3 이용안내 인용

"Pgr은 '명문화된 삭제규정'이 반드시 필요하지 않은 분을 환영합니다.
법 없이도 사는 사람, 남에게 상처를 주지 않으면서 같이 이야기 나눌 수 있는 분이면 좋겠습니다."
펠릭스~
08/09/11 21:09
수정 아이콘
50.0% ( 0.0 ) 60.0% ( 70.4 ) 70.0% ( 147.2 ) 80.0% ( 240.8 ) 90.0% ( 381.7 )
50.1% ( 0.7 ) 60.1% ( 71.2 ) 70.1% ( 148.0 ) 80.1% ( 241.9 ) 90.1% ( 383.6 )
50.2% ( 1.4 ) 60.2% ( 71.9 ) 70.2% ( 148.8 ) 80.2% ( 243.0 ) 90.2% ( 385.6 )
50.3% ( 2.1 ) 60.3% ( 72.6 ) 70.3% ( 149.7 ) 80.3% ( 244.1 ) 90.3% ( 387.6 )
50.4% ( 2.8 ) 60.4% ( 73.3 ) 70.4% ( 150.5 ) 80.4% ( 245.2 ) 90.4% ( 389.6 )
50.5% ( 3.5 ) 60.5% ( 74.1 ) 70.5% ( 151.3 ) 80.5% ( 246.3 ) 90.5% ( 391.6 )
50.6% ( 4.2 ) 60.6% ( 74.8 ) 70.6% ( 152.2 ) 80.6% ( 247.4 ) 90.6% ( 393.6 )
50.7% ( 4.9 ) 60.7% ( 75.5 ) 70.7% ( 153.0 ) 80.7% ( 248.5 ) 90.7% ( 395.6 )
50.8% ( 5.6 ) 60.8% ( 76.2 ) 70.8% ( 153.9 ) 80.8% ( 249.6 ) 90.8% ( 397.7 )
50.9% ( 6.3 ) 60.9% ( 77.0 ) 70.9% ( 154.7 ) 80.9% ( 250.8 ) 90.9% ( 399.8 )
51.0% ( 6.9 ) 61.0% ( 77.7 ) 71.0% ( 155.5 ) 81.0% ( 251.9 ) 91.0% ( 401.9 )
51.1% ( 7.6 ) 61.1% ( 78.4 ) 71.1% ( 156.4 ) 81.1% ( 253.0 ) 91.1% ( 404.1 )
51.2% ( 8.3 ) 61.2% ( 79.2 ) 71.2% ( 157.2 ) 81.2% ( 254.2 ) 91.2% ( 406.2 )
51.3% ( 9.0 ) 61.3% ( 79.9 ) 71.3% ( 158.1 ) 81.3% ( 255.3 ) 91.3% ( 408.4 )
51.4% ( 9.7 ) 61.4% ( 80.6 ) 71.4% ( 158.9 ) 81.4% ( 256.4 ) 91.4% ( 410.6 )
51.5% ( 10.4 ) 61.5% ( 81.4 ) 71.5% ( 159.8 ) 81.5% ( 257.6 ) 91.5% ( 412.8 )
51.6% ( 11.1 ) 61.6% ( 82.1 ) 71.6% ( 160.6 ) 81.6% ( 258.7 ) 91.6% ( 415.0 )
51.7% ( 11.8 ) 61.7% ( 82.8 ) 71.7% ( 161.5 ) 81.7% ( 259.9 ) 91.7% ( 417.3 )
51.8% ( 12.5 ) 61.8% ( 83.6 ) 71.8% ( 162.4 ) 81.8% ( 261.1 ) 91.8% ( 419.6 )
51.9% ( 13.2 ) 61.9% ( 84.3 ) 71.9% ( 163.2 ) 81.9% ( 262.2 ) 91.9% ( 421.9 )
52.0% ( 13.9 ) 62.0% ( 85.0 ) 72.0% ( 164.1 ) 82.0% ( 263.4 ) 92.0% ( 424.3 )
52.1% ( 14.6 ) 62.1% ( 85.8 ) 72.1% ( 164.9 ) 82.1% ( 264.6 ) 92.1% ( 426.7 )
52.2% ( 15.3 ) 62.2% ( 86.5 ) 72.2% ( 165.8 ) 82.2% ( 265.8 ) 92.2% ( 429.1 )
52.3% ( 16.0 ) 62.3% ( 87.3 ) 72.3% ( 166.7 ) 82.3% ( 267.0 ) 92.3% ( 431.5 )
52.4% ( 16.7 ) 62.4% ( 88.0 ) 72.4% ( 167.5 ) 82.4% ( 268.2 ) 92.4% ( 433.9 )
52.5% ( 17.4 ) 62.5% ( 88.7 ) 72.5% ( 168.4 ) 82.5% ( 269.4 ) 92.5% ( 436.4 )
52.6% ( 18.1 ) 62.6% ( 89.5 ) 72.6% ( 169.3 ) 82.6% ( 270.6 ) 92.6% ( 439.0 )
52.7% ( 18.8 ) 62.7% ( 90.2 ) 72.7% ( 170.1 ) 82.7% ( 271.8 ) 92.7% ( 441.5 )
52.8% ( 19.5 ) 62.8% ( 91.0 ) 72.8% ( 171.0 ) 82.8% ( 273.0 ) 92.8% ( 444.1 )
52.9% ( 20.2 ) 62.9% ( 91.7 ) 72.9% ( 171.9 ) 82.9% ( 274.2 ) 92.9% ( 446.7 )
53.0% ( 20.9 ) 63.0% ( 92.5 ) 73.0% ( 172.8 ) 83.0% ( 275.5 ) 93.0% ( 449.4 )
53.1% ( 21.6 ) 63.1% ( 93.2 ) 73.1% ( 173.7 ) 83.1% ( 276.7 ) 93.1% ( 452.0 )
53.2% ( 22.3 ) 63.2% ( 93.9 ) 73.2% ( 174.6 ) 83.2% ( 277.9 ) 93.2% ( 454.8 )
53.3% ( 23.0 ) 63.3% ( 94.7 ) 73.3% ( 175.4 ) 83.3% ( 279.2 ) 93.3% ( 457.5 )
53.4% ( 23.7 ) 63.4% ( 95.4 ) 73.4% ( 176.3 ) 83.4% ( 280.4 ) 93.4% ( 460.3 )
53.5% ( 24.4 ) 63.5% ( 96.2 ) 73.5% ( 177.2 ) 83.5% ( 281.7 ) 93.5% ( 463.2 )
53.6% ( 25.1 ) 63.6% ( 96.9 ) 73.6% ( 178.1 ) 83.6% ( 282.9 ) 93.6% ( 466.0 )
53.7% ( 25.8 ) 63.7% ( 97.7 ) 73.7% ( 179.0 ) 83.7% ( 284.2 ) 93.7% ( 469.0 )
53.8% ( 26.5 ) 63.8% ( 98.4 ) 73.8% ( 179.9 ) 83.8% ( 285.5 ) 93.8% ( 471.9 )
53.9% ( 27.2 ) 63.9% ( 99.2 ) 73.9% ( 180.8 ) 83.9% ( 286.8 ) 93.9% ( 474.9 )
54.0% ( 27.9 ) 64.0% ( 100.0 ) 74.0% ( 181.7 ) 84.0% ( 288.1 ) 94.0% ( 478.0 )
54.1% ( 28.6 ) 64.1% ( 100.7 ) 74.1% ( 182.6 ) 84.1% ( 289.4 ) 94.1% ( 481.1 )
54.2% ( 29.3 ) 64.2% ( 101.5 ) 74.2% ( 183.5 ) 84.2% ( 290.7 ) 94.2% ( 484.2 )
54.3% ( 30.0 ) 64.3% ( 102.2 ) 74.3% ( 184.4 ) 84.3% ( 292.0 ) 94.3% ( 487.5 )
54.4% ( 30.7 ) 64.4% ( 103.0 ) 74.4% ( 185.3 ) 84.4% ( 293.3 ) 94.4% ( 490.7 )
54.5% ( 31.4 ) 64.5% ( 103.7 ) 74.5% ( 186.2 ) 84.5% ( 294.6 ) 94.5% ( 494.0 )
54.6% ( 32.1 ) 64.6% ( 104.5 ) 74.6% ( 187.2 ) 84.6% ( 295.9 ) 94.6% ( 497.4 )
54.7% ( 32.8 ) 64.7% ( 105.3 ) 74.7% ( 188.1 ) 84.7% ( 297.3 ) 94.7% ( 500.8 )
54.8% ( 33.5 ) 64.8% ( 106.0 ) 74.8% ( 189.0 ) 84.8% ( 298.6 ) 94.8% ( 504.3 )
54.9% ( 34.2 ) 64.9% ( 106.8 ) 74.9% ( 189.9 ) 84.9% ( 300.0 ) 94.9% ( 507.9 )
55.0% ( 34.9 ) 65.0% ( 107.5 ) 75.0% ( 190.8 ) 85.0% ( 301.3 ) 95.0% ( 511.5 )
55.1% ( 35.6 ) 65.1% ( 108.3 ) 75.1% ( 191.8 ) 85.1% ( 302.7 ) 95.1% ( 515.2 )
55.2% ( 36.3 ) 65.2% ( 109.1 ) 75.2% ( 192.7 ) 85.2% ( 304.1 ) 95.2% ( 519.0 )
55.3% ( 37.0 ) 65.3% ( 109.8 ) 75.3% ( 193.6 ) 85.3% ( 305.5 ) 95.3% ( 522.8 )
55.4% ( 37.7 ) 65.4% ( 110.6 ) 75.4% ( 194.6 ) 85.4% ( 306.8 ) 95.4% ( 526.7 )
55.5% ( 38.4 ) 65.5% ( 111.4 ) 75.5% ( 195.5 ) 85.5% ( 308.2 ) 95.5% ( 530.7 )
55.6% ( 39.1 ) 65.6% ( 112.1 ) 75.6% ( 196.5 ) 85.6% ( 309.6 ) 95.6% ( 534.8 )
55.7% ( 39.8 ) 65.7% ( 112.9 ) 75.7% ( 197.4 ) 85.7% ( 311.1 ) 95.7% ( 539.0 )
55.8% ( 40.5 ) 65.8% ( 113.7 ) 75.8% ( 198.3 ) 85.8% ( 312.5 ) 95.8% ( 543.2 )
55.9% ( 41.2 ) 65.9% ( 114.5 ) 75.9% ( 199.3 ) 85.9% ( 313.9 ) 95.9% ( 547.6 )
56.0% ( 41.9 ) 66.0% ( 115.2 ) 76.0% ( 200.2 ) 86.0% ( 315.3 ) 96.0% ( 552.1 )
56.1% ( 42.6 ) 66.1% ( 116.0 ) 76.1% ( 201.2 ) 86.1% ( 316.8 ) 96.1% ( 556.7 )
56.2% ( 43.3 ) 66.2% ( 116.8 ) 76.2% ( 202.2 ) 86.2% ( 318.3 ) 96.2% ( 561.4 )
56.3% ( 44.0 ) 66.3% ( 117.6 ) 76.3% ( 203.1 ) 86.3% ( 319.7 ) 96.3% ( 566.2 )
56.4% ( 44.7 ) 66.4% ( 118.3 ) 76.4% ( 204.1 ) 86.4% ( 321.2 ) 96.4% ( 571.1 )
56.5% ( 45.4 ) 66.5% ( 119.1 ) 76.5% ( 205.0 ) 86.5% ( 322.7 ) 96.5% ( 576.2 )
56.6% ( 46.1 ) 66.6% ( 119.9 ) 76.6% ( 206.0 ) 86.6% ( 324.2 ) 96.6% ( 581.4 )
56.7% ( 46.8 ) 66.7% ( 120.7 ) 76.7% ( 207.0 ) 86.7% ( 325.7 ) 96.7% ( 586.8 )
56.8% ( 47.5 ) 66.8% ( 121.5 ) 76.8% ( 207.9 ) 86.8% ( 327.2 ) 96.8% ( 592.3 )
56.9% ( 48.3 ) 66.9% ( 122.2 ) 76.9% ( 208.9 ) 86.9% ( 328.7 ) 96.9% ( 598.0 )
57.0% ( 49.0 ) 67.0% ( 123.0 ) 77.0% ( 209.9 ) 87.0% ( 330.2 ) 97.0% ( 603.9 )
57.1% ( 49.7 ) 67.1% ( 123.8 ) 77.1% ( 210.9 ) 87.1% ( 331.8 ) 97.1% ( 609.9 )
57.2% ( 50.4 ) 67.2% ( 124.6 ) 77.2% ( 211.9 ) 87.2% ( 333.3 ) 97.2% ( 616.2 )
57.3% ( 51.1 ) 67.3% ( 125.4 ) 77.3% ( 212.9 ) 87.3% ( 334.9 ) 97.3% ( 622.7 )
57.4% ( 51.8 ) 67.4% ( 126.2 ) 77.4% ( 213.9 ) 87.4% ( 336.5 ) 97.4% ( 629.4 )
57.5% ( 52.5 ) 67.5% ( 127.0 ) 77.5% ( 214.8 ) 87.5% ( 338.0 ) 97.5% ( 636.4 )
57.6% ( 53.2 ) 67.6% ( 127.8 ) 77.6% ( 215.8 ) 87.6% ( 339.6 ) 97.6% ( 643.7 )
57.7% ( 53.9 ) 67.7% ( 128.6 ) 77.7% ( 216.8 ) 87.7% ( 341.2 ) 97.7% ( 651.3 )
57.8% ( 54.6 ) 67.8% ( 129.3 ) 77.8% ( 217.9 ) 87.8% ( 342.9 ) 97.8% ( 659.2 )
57.9% ( 55.4 ) 67.9% ( 130.1 ) 77.9% ( 218.9 ) 87.9% ( 344.5 ) 97.9% ( 667.4 )
58.0% ( 56.1 ) 68.0% ( 130.9 ) 78.0% ( 219.9 ) 88.0% ( 346.1 ) 98.0% ( 676.1 )
58.1% ( 56.8 ) 68.1% ( 131.7 ) 78.1% ( 220.9 ) 88.1% ( 347.8 ) 98.1% ( 685.2 )
58.2% ( 57.5 ) 68.2% ( 132.5 ) 78.2% ( 221.9 ) 88.2% ( 349.4 ) 98.2% ( 694.7 )
58.3% ( 58.2 ) 68.3% ( 133.3 ) 78.3% ( 222.9 ) 88.3% ( 351.1 ) 98.3% ( 704.8 )
58.4% ( 58.9 ) 68.4% ( 134.1 ) 78.4% ( 223.9 ) 88.4% ( 352.8 ) 98.4% ( 715.6 )
58.5% ( 59.6 ) 68.5% ( 135.0 ) 78.5% ( 225.0 ) 88.5% ( 354.5 ) 98.5% ( 726.9 )
58.6% ( 60.4 ) 68.6% ( 135.8 ) 78.6% ( 226.0 ) 88.6% ( 356.2 ) 98.6% ( 739.1 )
58.7% ( 61.1 ) 68.7% ( 136.6 ) 78.7% ( 227.0 ) 88.7% ( 357.9 ) 98.7% ( 752.1 )
58.8% ( 61.8 ) 68.8% ( 137.4 ) 78.8% ( 228.1 ) 88.8% ( 359.7 ) 98.8% ( 766.2 )
58.9% ( 62.5 ) 68.9% ( 138.2 ) 78.9% ( 229.1 ) 88.9% ( 361.4 ) 98.9% ( 781.5 )
59.0% ( 63.2 ) 69.0% ( 139.0 ) 79.0% ( 230.2 ) 89.0% ( 363.2 ) 99.0% ( 798.3 )
59.1% ( 63.9 ) 69.1% ( 139.8 ) 79.1% ( 231.2 ) 89.1% ( 365.0 ) 99.1% ( 816.7 )
59.2% ( 64.7 ) 69.2% ( 140.6 ) 79.2% ( 232.3 ) 89.2% ( 366.8 ) 99.2% ( 837.4 )
59.3% ( 65.4 ) 69.3% ( 141.4 ) 79.3% ( 233.3 ) 89.3% ( 368.6 ) 99.3% ( 860.7 )
59.4% ( 66.1 ) 69.4% ( 142.3 ) 79.4% ( 234.4 ) 89.4% ( 370.4 ) 99.4% ( 887.7 )
59.5% ( 66.8 ) 69.5% ( 143.1 ) 79.5% ( 235.4 ) 89.5% ( 372.3 ) 99.5% ( 919.5 )
59.6% ( 67.5 ) 69.6% ( 143.9 ) 79.6% ( 236.5 ) 89.6% ( 374.1 ) 99.6% ( 958.5 )
59.7% ( 68.3 ) 69.7% ( 144.7 ) 79.7% ( 237.6 ) 89.7% ( 376.0 ) 99.7% ( 1008.6 )
59.8% ( 69.0 ) 69.8% ( 145.5 ) 79.8% ( 238.7 ) 89.8% ( 377.9 ) 99.8% ( 1079.2 )
59.9% ( 69.7 ) 69.9% ( 146.4 ) 79.9% ( 239.7 ) 89.9% ( 379.8 ) 99.9% ( 1199.8 )
펠릭스~
08/09/11 21:09
수정 아이콘
0.0% ( 0.0% ) 10.0% ( -381.7 ) 20.0% ( -240.8 ) 30.0% ( -147.2 ) 40.0% ( -70.4 )
0.1% ( -1199.8 ) 10.1% ( -379.8 ) 20.1% ( -239.7 ) 30.1% ( -146.4 ) 40.1% ( -69.7 )
0.2% ( -1079.2 ) 10.2% ( -377.9 ) 20.2% ( -238.7 ) 30.2% ( -145.5 ) 40.2% ( -69.0 )
0.3% ( -1008.6 ) 10.3% ( -376.0 ) 20.3% ( -237.6 ) 30.3% ( -144.7 ) 40.3% ( -68.3 )
0.4% ( -958.5 ) 10.4% ( -374.1 ) 20.4% ( -236.5 ) 30.4% ( -143.9 ) 40.4% ( -67.5 )
0.5% ( -919.5 ) 10.5% ( -372.3 ) 20.5% ( -235.4 ) 30.5% ( -143.1 ) 40.5% ( -66.8 )
0.6% ( -887.7 ) 10.6% ( -370.4 ) 20.6% ( -234.4 ) 30.6% ( -142.3 ) 40.6% ( -66.1 )
0.7% ( -860.7 ) 10.7% ( -368.6 ) 20.7% ( -233.3 ) 30.7% ( -141.4 ) 40.7% ( -65.4 )
0.8% ( -837.4 ) 10.8% ( -366.8 ) 20.8% ( -232.3 ) 30.8% ( -140.6 ) 40.8% ( -64.7 )
0.9% ( -816.7 ) 10.9% ( -365.0 ) 20.9% ( -231.2 ) 30.9% ( -139.8 ) 40.9% ( -63.9 )
1.0% ( -798.3 ) 11.0% ( -363.2 ) 21.0% ( -230.2 ) 31.0% ( -139.0 ) 41.0% ( -63.2 )
1.1% ( -781.5 ) 11.1% ( -361.4 ) 21.1% ( -229.1 ) 31.1% ( -138.2 ) 41.1% ( -62.5 )
1.2% ( -766.2 ) 11.2% ( -359.7 ) 21.2% ( -228.1 ) 31.2% ( -137.4 ) 41.2% ( -61.8 )
1.3% ( -752.1 ) 11.3% ( -357.9 ) 21.3% ( -227.0 ) 31.3% ( -136.6 ) 41.3% ( -61.1 )
1.4% ( -739.1 ) 11.4% ( -356.2 ) 21.4% ( -226.0 ) 31.4% ( -135.8 ) 41.4% ( -60.4 )
1.5% ( -726.9 ) 11.5% ( -354.5 ) 21.5% ( -225.0 ) 31.5% ( -135.0 ) 41.5% ( -59.6 )
1.6% ( -715.6 ) 11.6% ( -352.8 ) 21.6% ( -223.9 ) 31.6% ( -134.1 ) 41.6% ( -58.9 )
1.7% ( -704.8 ) 11.7% ( -351.1 ) 21.7% ( -222.9 ) 31.7% ( -133.3 ) 41.7% ( -58.2 )
1.8% ( -694.7 ) 11.8% ( -349.4 ) 21.8% ( -221.9 ) 31.8% ( -132.5 ) 41.8% ( -57.5 )
1.9% ( -685.2 ) 11.9% ( -347.8 ) 21.9% ( -220.9 ) 31.9% ( -131.7 ) 41.9% ( -56.8 )
2.0% ( -676.1 ) 12.0% ( -346.1 ) 22.0% ( -219.9 ) 32.0% ( -130.9 ) 42.0% ( -56.1 )
2.1% ( -667.4 ) 12.1% ( -344.5 ) 22.1% ( -218.9 ) 32.1% ( -130.1 ) 42.1% ( -55.4 )
2.2% ( -659.2 ) 12.2% ( -342.9 ) 22.2% ( -217.9 ) 32.2% ( -129.3 ) 42.2% ( -54.6 )
2.3% ( -651.3 ) 12.3% ( -341.2 ) 22.3% ( -216.8 ) 32.3% ( -128.6 ) 42.3% ( -53.9 )
2.4% ( -643.7 ) 12.4% ( -339.6 ) 22.4% ( -215.8 ) 32.4% ( -127.8 ) 42.4% ( -53.2 )
2.5% ( -636.4 ) 12.5% ( -338.0 ) 22.5% ( -214.8 ) 32.5% ( -127.0 ) 42.5% ( -52.5 )
2.6% ( -629.4 ) 12.6% ( -336.5 ) 22.6% ( -213.9 ) 32.6% ( -126.2 ) 42.6% ( -51.8 )
2.7% ( -622.7 ) 12.7% ( -334.9 ) 22.7% ( -212.9 ) 32.7% ( -125.4 ) 42.7% ( -51.1 )
2.8% ( -616.2 ) 12.8% ( -333.3 ) 22.8% ( -211.9 ) 32.8% ( -124.6 ) 42.8% ( -50.4 )
2.9% ( -609.9 ) 12.9% ( -331.8 ) 22.9% ( -210.9 ) 32.9% ( -123.8 ) 42.9% ( -49.7 )
3.0% ( -603.9 ) 13.0% ( -330.2 ) 23.0% ( -209.9 ) 33.0% ( -123.0 ) 43.0% ( -49.0 )
3.1% ( -598.0 ) 13.1% ( -328.7 ) 23.1% ( -208.9 ) 33.1% ( -122.2 ) 43.1% ( -48.3 )
3.2% ( -592.3 ) 13.2% ( -327.2 ) 23.2% ( -207.9 ) 33.2% ( -121.5 ) 43.2% ( -47.5 )
3.3% ( -586.8 ) 13.3% ( -325.7 ) 23.3% ( -207.0 ) 33.3% ( -120.7 ) 43.3% ( -46.8 )
3.4% ( -581.4 ) 13.4% ( -324.2 ) 23.4% ( -206.0 ) 33.4% ( -119.9 ) 43.4% ( -46.1 )
3.5% ( -576.2 ) 13.5% ( -322.7 ) 23.5% ( -205.0 ) 33.5% ( -119.1 ) 43.5% ( -45.4 )
3.6% ( -571.1 ) 13.6% ( -321.2 ) 23.6% ( -204.1 ) 33.6% ( -118.3 ) 43.6% ( -44.7 )
3.7% ( -566.2 ) 13.7% ( -319.7 ) 23.7% ( -203.1 ) 33.7% ( -117.6 ) 43.7% ( -44.0 )
3.8% ( -561.4 ) 13.8% ( -318.3 ) 23.8% ( -202.2 ) 33.8% ( -116.8 ) 43.8% ( -43.3 )
3.9% ( -556.7 ) 13.9% ( -316.8 ) 23.9% ( -201.2 ) 33.9% ( -116.0 ) 43.9% ( -42.6 )
4.0% ( -552.1 ) 14.0% ( -315.3 ) 24.0% ( -200.2 ) 34.0% ( -115.2 ) 44.0% ( -41.9 )
4.1% ( -547.6 ) 14.1% ( -313.9 ) 24.1% ( -199.3 ) 34.1% ( -114.5 ) 44.1% ( -41.2 )
4.2% ( -543.2 ) 14.2% ( -312.5 ) 24.2% ( -198.3 ) 34.2% ( -113.7 ) 44.2% ( -40.5 )
4.3% ( -539.0 ) 14.3% ( -311.1 ) 24.3% ( -197.4 ) 34.3% ( -112.9 ) 44.3% ( -39.8 )
4.4% ( -534.8 ) 14.4% ( -309.6 ) 24.4% ( -196.5 ) 34.4% ( -112.1 ) 44.4% ( -39.1 )
4.5% ( -530.7 ) 14.5% ( -308.2 ) 24.5% ( -195.5 ) 34.5% ( -111.4 ) 44.5% ( -38.4 )
4.6% ( -526.7 ) 14.6% ( -306.8 ) 24.6% ( -194.6 ) 34.6% ( -110.6 ) 44.6% ( -37.7 )
4.7% ( -522.8 ) 14.7% ( -305.5 ) 24.7% ( -193.6 ) 34.7% ( -109.8 ) 44.7% ( -37.0 )
4.8% ( -519.0 ) 14.8% ( -304.1 ) 24.8% ( -192.7 ) 34.8% ( -109.1 ) 44.8% ( -36.3 )
4.9% ( -515.2 ) 14.9% ( -302.7 ) 24.9% ( -191.8 ) 34.9% ( -108.3 ) 44.9% ( -35.6 )
5.0% ( -511.5 ) 15.0% ( -301.3 ) 25.0% ( -190.8 ) 35.0% ( -107.5 ) 45.0% ( -34.9 )
5.1% ( -507.9 ) 15.1% ( -300.0 ) 25.1% ( -189.9 ) 35.1% ( -106.8 ) 45.1% ( -34.2 )
5.2% ( -504.3 ) 15.2% ( -298.6 ) 25.2% ( -189.0 ) 35.2% ( -106.0 ) 45.2% ( -33.5 )
5.3% ( -500.8 ) 15.3% ( -297.3 ) 25.3% ( -188.1 ) 35.3% ( -105.3 ) 45.3% ( -32.8 )
5.4% ( -497.4 ) 15.4% ( -295.9 ) 25.4% ( -187.2 ) 35.4% ( -104.5 ) 45.4% ( -32.1 )
5.5% ( -494.0 ) 15.5% ( -294.6 ) 25.5% ( -186.2 ) 35.5% ( -103.7 ) 45.5% ( -31.4 )
5.6% ( -490.7 ) 15.6% ( -293.3 ) 25.6% ( -185.3 ) 35.6% ( -103.0 ) 45.6% ( -30.7 )
5.7% ( -487.5 ) 15.7% ( -292.0 ) 25.7% ( -184.4 ) 35.7% ( -102.2 ) 45.7% ( -30.0 )
5.8% ( -484.2 ) 15.8% ( -290.7 ) 25.8% ( -183.5 ) 35.8% ( -101.5 ) 45.8% ( -29.3 )
5.9% ( -481.1 ) 15.9% ( -289.4 ) 25.9% ( -182.6 ) 35.9% ( -100.7 ) 45.9% ( -28.6 )
6.0% ( -478.0 ) 16.0% ( -288.1 ) 26.0% ( -181.7 ) 36.0% ( -100.0 ) 46.0% ( -27.9 )
6.1% ( -474.9 ) 16.1% ( -286.8 ) 26.1% ( -180.8 ) 36.1% ( -99.2 ) 46.1% ( -27.2 )
6.2% ( -471.9 ) 16.2% ( -285.5 ) 26.2% ( -179.9 ) 36.2% ( -98.4 ) 46.2% ( -26.5 )
6.3% ( -469.0 ) 16.3% ( -284.2 ) 26.3% ( -179.0 ) 36.3% ( -97.7 ) 46.3% ( -25.8 )
6.4% ( -466.0 ) 16.4% ( -282.9 ) 26.4% ( -178.1 ) 36.4% ( -96.9 ) 46.4% ( -25.1 )
6.5% ( -463.2 ) 16.5% ( -281.7 ) 26.5% ( -177.2 ) 36.5% ( -96.2 ) 46.5% ( -24.4 )
6.6% ( -460.3 ) 16.6% ( -280.4 ) 26.6% ( -176.3 ) 36.6% ( -95.4 ) 46.6% ( -23.7 )
6.7% ( -457.5 ) 16.7% ( -279.2 ) 26.7% ( -175.4 ) 36.7% ( -94.7 ) 46.7% ( -23.0 )
6.8% ( -454.8 ) 16.8% ( -277.9 ) 26.8% ( -174.6 ) 36.8% ( -93.9 ) 46.8% ( -22.3 )
6.9% ( -452.0 ) 16.9% ( -276.7 ) 26.9% ( -173.7 ) 36.9% ( -93.2 ) 46.9% ( -21.6 )
7.0% ( -449.4 ) 17.0% ( -275.5 ) 27.0% ( -172.8 ) 37.0% ( -92.5 ) 47.0% ( -20.9 )
7.1% ( -446.7 ) 17.1% ( -274.2 ) 27.1% ( -171.9 ) 37.1% ( -91.7 ) 47.1% ( -20.2 )
7.2% ( -444.1 ) 17.2% ( -273.0 ) 27.2% ( -171.0 ) 37.2% ( -91.0 ) 47.2% ( -19.5 )
7.3% ( -441.5 ) 17.3% ( -271.8 ) 27.3% ( -170.1 ) 37.3% ( -90.2 ) 47.3% ( -18.8 )
7.4% ( -439.0 ) 17.4% ( -270.6 ) 27.4% ( -169.3 ) 37.4% ( -89.5 ) 47.4% ( -18.1 )
7.5% ( -436.4 ) 17.5% ( -269.4 ) 27.5% ( -168.4 ) 37.5% ( -88.7 ) 47.5% ( -17.4 )
7.6% ( -433.9 ) 17.6% ( -268.2 ) 27.6% ( -167.5 ) 37.6% ( -88.0 ) 47.6% ( -16.7 )
7.7% ( -431.5 ) 17.7% ( -267.0 ) 27.7% ( -166.7 ) 37.7% ( -87.3 ) 47.7% ( -16.0 )
7.8% ( -429.1 ) 17.8% ( -265.8 ) 27.8% ( -165.8 ) 37.8% ( -86.5 ) 47.8% ( -15.3 )
7.9% ( -426.7 ) 17.9% ( -264.6 ) 27.9% ( -164.9 ) 37.9% ( -85.8 ) 47.9% ( -14.6 )
8.0% ( -424.3 ) 18.0% ( -263.4 ) 28.0% ( -164.1 ) 38.0% ( -85.0 ) 48.0% ( -13.9 )
8.1% ( -421.9 ) 18.1% ( -262.2 ) 28.1% ( -163.2 ) 38.1% ( -84.3 ) 48.1% ( -13.2 )
8.2% ( -419.6 ) 18.2% ( -261.1 ) 28.2% ( -162.4 ) 38.2% ( -83.6 ) 48.2% ( -12.5 )
8.3% ( -417.3 ) 18.3% ( -259.9 ) 28.3% ( -161.5 ) 38.3% ( -82.8 ) 48.3% ( -11.8 )
8.4% ( -415.0 ) 18.4% ( -258.7 ) 28.4% ( -160.6 ) 38.4% ( -82.1 ) 48.4% ( -11.1 )
8.5% ( -412.8 ) 18.5% ( -257.6 ) 28.5% ( -159.8 ) 38.5% ( -81.4 ) 48.5% ( -10.4 )
8.6% ( -410.6 ) 18.6% ( -256.4 ) 28.6% ( -158.9 ) 38.6% ( -80.6 ) 48.6% ( -9.7 )
8.7% ( -408.4 ) 18.7% ( -255.3 ) 28.7% ( -158.1 ) 38.7% ( -79.9 ) 48.7% ( -9.0 )
8.8% ( -406.2 ) 18.8% ( -254.2 ) 28.8% ( -157.2 ) 38.8% ( -79.2 ) 48.8% ( -8.3 )
8.9% ( -404.1 ) 18.9% ( -253.0 ) 28.9% ( -156.4 ) 38.9% ( -78.4 ) 48.9% ( -7.6 )
9.0% ( -401.9 ) 19.0% ( -251.9 ) 29.0% ( -155.5 ) 39.0% ( -77.7 ) 49.0% ( -6.9 )
9.1% ( -399.8 ) 19.1% ( -250.8 ) 29.1% ( -154.7 ) 39.1% ( -77.0 ) 49.1% ( -6.3 )
9.2% ( -397.7 ) 19.2% ( -249.6 ) 29.2% ( -153.9 ) 39.2% ( -76.2 ) 49.2% ( -5.6 )
9.3% ( -395.6 ) 19.3% ( -248.5 ) 29.3% ( -153.0 ) 39.3% ( -75.5 ) 49.3% ( -4.9 )
9.4% ( -393.6 ) 19.4% ( -247.4 ) 29.4% ( -152.2 ) 39.4% ( -74.8 ) 49.4% ( -4.2 )
9.5% ( -391.6 ) 19.5% ( -246.3 ) 29.5% ( -151.3 ) 39.5% ( -74.1 ) 49.5% ( -3.5 )
9.6% ( -389.6 ) 19.6% ( -245.2 ) 29.6% ( -150.5 ) 39.6% ( -73.3 ) 49.6% ( -2.8 )
9.7% ( -387.6 ) 19.7% ( -244.1 ) 29.7% ( -149.7 ) 39.7% ( -72.6 ) 49.7% ( -2.1 )
9.8% ( -385.6 ) 19.8% ( -243.0 ) 29.8% ( -148.8 ) 39.8% ( -71.9 ) 49.8% ( -1.4 )
9.9% ( -383.6 ) 19.9% ( -241.9 ) 29.9% ( -148.0 ) 39.9% ( -71.2 ) 49.9% ( -0.7 )
핸드레이크
08/09/11 22:02
수정 아이콘
문과생인 저로서는 무슨말인지..라면 변명이고
무식해서 잘..;
vendettaz
08/09/11 22:10
수정 아이콘
문과이과를 떠나서,
이런 수식과 수치의 나열을 생경해할 분들이 그렇지 않은 분들보다 훨씬 많으리라 생각되는데.

구체적 결과물을 보다 많은 분들이 쉽게 이해하게끔 정리해주시는 편이 낫지 않을까요.
08/09/11 23:14
수정 아이콘
축구에서는 피파 랭킹 외에 비공식적으로 에로 랭킹이라고 있죠. 피파 랭킹에 비해선 공식과 산출 방법이 명확하고 쉽습니다.
포셀라나
08/09/12 03:23
수정 아이콘
저는 문과중에서도 인문대생이지만

문과라서 수학을 잘모른다는 이유가 되거나, 모르는게 당연하다는 말은 이해가 안갑니다.

문과도 수학많이 필요하고, 과에 따라서 공대못지않게 배우기도 합니다.
08/09/12 23:52
수정 아이콘
포셀라나님//
이해가 안가시면 이해 안하시면 될 것 같은데요.
위엣분은 그냥 쓰신거 같은데, 굳이 그렇게 민감하게 반응해야할 이유가 있을지.

그렇게 따지면 저도 매번 그렇게 까칠하게 리플다시는 저의가 이해가 안갑니다.
공실이
08/09/13 03:54
수정 아이콘
우왓

결국 하셨군요 으흐흐

중3때 로그표 찾던 기억이 새록새록.................
목록 삭게로! 맨위로
번호 제목 이름 날짜 조회 추천
68535 [스타1] elo 시스템을 도입한 클랜을 운영 중에 있습니다. (스타 1:1 밀리클랜 홍보글) [10] 오만과나태13566 20/05/25 13566 8
63654 [기타] elo 점수 계산용 엑셀 [7] 스카이저그16742 18/06/17 16742 6
62069 [스타1] 재미로 보는 2017 아재리그 elo 랭킹 [8] 말코비치9954 17/09/24 9954 0
62057 [스타1] 2017 KCM 종족최강전 elo 랭킹 [6] 말코비치12311 17/09/21 12311 3
61429 [스타1] 6/10 현재 변형 elo Rating (ASL 시즌3 + SSL클래식 2017 시즌1 끝) [2] 은별13183 17/06/11 13183 3
61393 [스타1] 6/2 현재 변형 elo Rating (ASL 시즌3 + SSL클래식 2017 시즌1 결승 진출자 확정) [8] 은별13987 17/06/02 13987 8
61360 [스타1] 5/26 현재 변형 elo Rating (ASL 시즌3 + SSL클래식 2017 시즌1 4강 진출자 확정) [4] 은별11830 17/05/27 11830 4
61309 [스타1] ASL 시즌3 + SSL클래식 2017 시즌1 변형 elo Rating (5/16 현재) [11] 은별14289 17/05/17 14289 28
35590 elo 시스템으로 승리확률 산출하기~~ [8] 펠릭스~6679 08/09/11 6679 0
31943 elo, eloD 랭킹 20 [9] 프렐루드6911 07/08/31 6911 0
30914 elo 레이팅 이야기가 나와서.... [3] perplex6516 07/06/01 6516 0
목록 이전 다음
댓글

+ : 최근 6시간내에 달린 댓글
+ : 최근 12시간내에 달린 댓글
맨 위로